A War of Attrition in the Senkakus — Pacifist Japan and China’s Wave Tactics

China’s repeated intrusions into Japan’s territorial waters around the Senkaku Islands have created a war of attrition. While China accumulates faits accomplis, Japan refrains from conventional sovereign responses. Analysts warn that continued incursions could lead to an eventual landing operation. A critical security concern for Japan.

However, our “pacifist” Japan does not take any of the firm, normal responses of an ordinary state.
2018-01-17
The following continues from the previous chapter.
Wave tactics.
Chinese Coast Guard vessels that intrude into Japan’s territorial waters around the Senkaku Islands do not respond to requests from Japan Coast Guard patrol ships to leave.
They cruise leisurely within Japanese territorial waters for several hours and then depart as if acting entirely on their own judgment.
This pattern is repeated.
If such a situation continues, there will be an increasing tendency in Japan to accept the intrusion of Chinese vessels into territorial waters as something ordinary.
A normal state would confront such intruding vessels directly as a violation of sovereignty and demand their withdrawal.
If they refused, it would be normal to repel them even by the use of force.
However, our “pacifist” Japan does not take any of those firm, ordinary responses of a normal state.
From China’s perspective, it now appears to be striving to accumulate records that make these illegal actions seem as if they were legitimate by repeatedly conducting “navigation within Japan’s territorial waters.”
They continue actions that completely ignore Japan’s administrative authority.
Meanwhile, Japan’s Coast Guard is becoming exhausted due to shortages of personnel and vessels.
It is a war of attrition.
In this war of attrition, at present China holds an overwhelming advantage both in the number of ships and personnel.
According to the views of American experts, there is even a possibility that these China Coast Guard personnel could land on the Senkaku Islands all at once, as if visiting islands of their own country for inspection.
To be continued.

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